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ETH deflationary in 2026?

3.95k
Dec 18, 2025 11:19 AM
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Market Status

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Rules
On-chain Language: English

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ethereum (ETH) experiences any 14-day (336-hour) period of negative net issuance at any time after the initiation of this market and before January 1, 2027, 00:00 PST.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

For the purposes of this market:

• “Net issuance” is defined as Total ETH issued – Total ETH burned, measured using publicly available on-chain data.

• ETH is considered deflationary during a period in which net issuance is strictly negative.

• Measurements must be based on post-market-deployment data only; any deflationary periods occurring before market initiation are not eligible.

If no qualifying 14-day deflationary period occurs before January 1, 2027, this market will resolve to “No.”

Source

• On-chain Ethereum issuance and burn data

Addresses

/USD Pool0x9275...f14f
/USD Pool0x4d35...c57e