This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ali Khamenei is no longer the Supreme Leader of Iran at any time after the creation of this market and before January 1, 2027 – 00:00 PST.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

For the purposes of this market:

Temporary absences, delegations of authority, health-related rumors, or unconfirmed reports do not qualify unless there is an official determination that he no longer holds the position.

The appointment or recognition of a successor, or an official declaration that the position is vacant, qualifies as a “Yes” outcome.